Card toolkit / Probability
Will your key card be prized?
A quick look at the odds, from one crucial copy to a full playset.
Set up your deck
What these odds mean
The model draws the specified number of prizes uniformly from the full deck, without replacement. “Not prized” includes cards in your opening hand or remaining deck. It does not model an opening-hand requirement, mulligans, or other information you already know.
Probability of exactly k copies in prizes: C(copies, k) × C(deck − copies, prizes − k) ÷ C(deck, prizes).
Your odds
At least one copy is not prized
99.15%
| Copies prized | Probability |
|---|